Author: Gerald Celente

COLONIAL KINGSTON, NY, 23 October 2017— As President Donald Trump prepares to release the John F. Kennedy assassination files, global trend forecaster Gerald Celente reveals the inside story told to him by Governor John Connally, who was seriously wounded when he took a bullet in the back sitting in front of Kennedy. Celente was invited to meet Connnally in Dallas, Texas, in 1992, because Connally wanted to know how, three years earlier, in his book Trend Tracking, Celente not only forecast the rise of a third party, but identified Ross Perot as the ideal maverick candidate. Parked in front of the Texas School … Continue reading →

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1. Make It New They all lost. In elections worldwide, culminating with undisputed reality-show champion Donald Trump’s victory in America’s Presidential Reality Show®, the old guard was defeated. 2. Economic Disorder The economic year that was will never be again. The new economic year ahead will be like none we have ever seen before. Indeed, this time last year, we forecast that panic would hit Wall Street in 2016. And, immediately after the new year was rung in, the Dow Jones suffered one of its worst openings in its history. By mid-January, some $6 trillion of … Current Prices on … Continue reading →

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KINGSTON, NY, 6 December 2016—Forecasting worldwide since 1980, never before have we observed so many key socioeconomic and geopolitical trend dynamics as those that will shape 2017 and beyond for both better and for worse. From Americans electing Donald Trump president – the darkest of dark-horse candidates whom the Trends Journal® was the first publication to forecast as winner (Trends Journal, May 2016) – to economic, financial, entertainment, technological and pop-culture mega-trends that will shape 2017, your audience and you will be ready to ride the waves and survive the dives ahead by knowing how to profit from this new-world trend order. Released today … Continue reading →

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KINGSTON, NY, 14 October 2016—From Japan, Europe and the United States to China, central bankers are either taking actions to stimulate sluggish economies or traveling the world talking up interest rates. This Tuesday, the Japanese Parliament passed yet another money-dumping scheme to revive its slumping economy. Despite nearly four years of quantifiable Abenomics stimulus and negative-interest-rate-policy failure, the government’s ¥3.3 trillion ($32 billion) in additional spending raised Japan’s debt-to-GDP level to 250 percent… the worst ratio in the world! n Europe, with its economy slogging along at 0.4 percent for the first half of the year and the banking crisis worsening, … Continue reading →

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As trend forecasters, we closely monitor movements that signal market-sector advances and/or declines often driven from the grassroots up or the top down. In the current financial climate, as evidenced by ample quantitative data, since the Panic of ’08, the vast rewards of economic growth have been unequally distributed at the top. In the United States, for example, 95 percent of income gains have accrued to the top 1 percent. And, at the top of the global wealth pyramid, a reported 10 percent of adults account for 85 percent of the world’s total wealth. Thus, be it an organization or … Continue reading →

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We affirm our trend forecast, made one year ago, that Hillary Clinton will win the 2016 presidential race. We now forecast her Democratic challenger, Bernie Sanders, will be chosen as her vice presidential running mate. In our Spring 2015 Trends Journal, two months prior to Donald Trump announcing his candidacy, we wrote: “If the election were held today… we forecast Clinton as the winner. On issues of gay rights, women’s rights and abortion, Cruz, Paul, Rubio, Carson, Fiorina and Huckabee will find weak support among a sizable portion of women voters.” In the 2008 presidential election, 70.4 million women cast ballots … Continue reading →

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KINGSTON, NY, 24 February 2016—You operate the largest printing press on the planet. You seek to hire the most highly qualified people to address current economic conditions and design strategies to maximize future market potential. However, when crisis strikes and with global equity markets in turmoil, those hired admit they are out of touch with the present and blindsided by the future: At Meeting, Fed Showed Uncertainty on Outlook WASHINGTON — Federal Reserve officials threw up their hands in January, deciding that they could not decide whether market turmoil would impede domestic economic growth. The Fed in recent years has issued … Continue reading →

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KINGSTON, NY, 10 February 2016 — As evidenced in our Trends in the News broadcast, we forecast that the Panic of 2016 would usher in the new year. It did. Despite Deutsche Bank’s shares, spiking today on the hype of a bond buy-back, the banking sector and fundamentals of the world economy remain at high risk. Global stock indexes have plunged into bear territory, currencies are crashing – and as commodity prices tumble, resource-rich nations going broke are begging the World Bank and International Monetary Fund to bail them out. Neither “The Panic” nor the Global Recession, one of our Top Trends … Continue reading →

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What a year 2015 was! Looking back, with neither the economic or geopolitical fronts looking prosperous or peaceful, the aware and awake are preparing for the year ahead – especially in the new age of equity market volatility and growing War on Terror fears. While the concerns are real, a future of gloom and doom often lies in the eyes of the beholder. There are opportunities in 2016 that, if seized, embraced and manifested with an eye on the future, and an open mind and a warm heart, one can reap great financial rewards, positive social change and personal satisfaction.  Yes, … Continue reading →

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The buildup to the Christmas shopping season that begins when deal hungry consumers rush tobig box stores and retail giants in hopes of getting deep discounted deals, fell flat this year before it began. With business trending downward, their stocks slumping and hungry for profits, major retailers have been bombarding the public with 50- to 75-percent-off deals throughout the year, especially in the months leading up to the Thanksgiving holiday shopping spree kickoff. Thanksgiving/Black Friday store sales aren’t what they used to be. And it’s not only because of the surge in on-line shopping. While web sales grew and mobile … Continue reading →

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KINGSTON, NY, 7 October 2015—It is official. Global equity markets had their worst quarterly showing since 2011. Is history repeating itself? Go back to 2007, in the months leading up to the Panic of ’08. On 24 July the Dow took a 226-point dive. Blaming the market fall on weak corporate profits, “experts” shrugged off the sudden decline, because “the market needs some profit taking after hitting 14,000.” With trillions being lost worldwide, The New York Times ran the headline, “Advisers Tell Worried Investors to Take Stock ‘Hiccup’ in Stride.” The tale began with the opening lines: “Take a deep breath. These things … Continue reading →

KINGSTON, NY, 30 September 2015—The Summer of 2015 is one for the financial record books. Since the Shanghai Index began melting down in mid-June, equity markets have been battered, commodity prices plunged and currencies of resource-rich nations and emerging markets tested old lows and hit new ones. As conditions deteriorated, the financial world focused on 17 September when the Federal Reserve Open Market Committee (FOMC) would announce if it would raise interest rates for the first time since 2006, or maintain its Zero Interest Rate Policy which has been in place since late 2008. In response to the Fed’s decision not … Continue reading →

KINGSTON, NY, 9 September 2015—The current wave of migrants flooding into Europe is the worst since World War II. The Trends Research Institute forecasts that migrant crisis will dramatically escalate. Both the cause and effects are trend lines leading to a humanitarian calamity, social unrest and geopolitical conflict that will destabilize governments worldwide. For some two years, shiploads of desperate refugees attempting to reach Europe have been drowning while Brussels bickered over how to handle the human tide washing up on their shores. In virtually all media coverage of the migrant crisis – which had begun its ascent in 2012 … Continue reading →

KINGSTON, NY, 19 August 2015—History is repeating itself. While the times are different and the names have changed, the underlying circumstances and basic fundamentals remain the same. The Crash of ’29, The Great Depression, plunging commodity prices, currency wars, trade wars, world war. Now, four score and six years later: The Panic of ’08, The Great Recession, plunging commodity prices, currency wars.  Are trade wars and world war next? Commodity prices’ continuing downward dive is indisputable evidence of a deteriorating global economy. For many, the Great Recession is depression. The equation is simple: there’s a glut of product and not enough … Continue reading →

KINGSTON, NY, 5 August 2015—When is a “crash” called a crash? The Bloomberg Commodity Index is at a 13-year low. Last month, the S&P GSCI total Return index, which tracks a basket of commodities, fell 14 percent. That was its worst decline since November 2008. Twenty-three of the 24 index components tracked, registered losses for July. The word on Wall Street is that commodity prices are down on rising expectations that the Federal Reserve will boost interest rates by year’s end. Therefore, since commodities are traded in US dollars, it will become more expensive for other countries, whose currencies are … Continue reading →